Race 12B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 25.3% 24.1% 18.2% 15.6% 9.7% 5.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Heausler 21.4% 20.9% 17.5% 16.3% 11.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 15.8% 16.0% 18.3% 16.4% 15.3% 10.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 12.2% 13.3% 13.6% 15.6% 17.6% 12.3% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Tony Collins 12.5% 12.6% 16.2% 15.9% 15.2% 13.4% 7.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Moore 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 8.7% 12.0% 15.1% 28.0% 23.2%
Joel Hurley 1.5% 3.3% 2.0% 3.3% 2.9% 7.9% 10.8% 16.4% 21.1% 20.0% 10.8%
John Reddaway 3.6% 2.5% 4.1% 5.6% 8.6% 14.1% 16.4% 16.8% 15.7% 10.4% 2.2%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 3.5% 6.7% 12.1% 18.4% 17.0% 17.9% 9.7% 3.9%
Ian Nora 2.8% 2.6% 4.3% 4.6% 8.1% 10.2% 14.8% 19.1% 17.6% 12.2% 3.7%
Cole Barclay 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.7% 6.3% 9.1% 18.5% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.