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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+7.88vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+8.72vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.54vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+6.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+3.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.96vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.46+0.38vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-2.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.27-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.12+1.45vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-0.96vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-5.65vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.73vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-3.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.25-7.94vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.78-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88University of Miami2.326.0%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.923.5%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania2.426.0%1st Place
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10.43Bowdoin College2.084.7%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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6.29Harvard University3.0511.2%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.044.9%1st Place
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8.38Tulane University2.466.4%1st Place
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6.31Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.6%1st Place
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8.68University of Hawaii2.276.6%1st Place
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13.45University of Michigan1.122.2%1st Place
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12.04Jacksonville University1.552.2%1st Place
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8.35Cornell University2.386.7%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.6%1st Place
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12.45Fordham University1.892.6%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy2.256.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.787.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlee Kohl | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Chris Kayda | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
Cameron Giblin | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Jack Egan | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Lucas Sawin | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% |
Bastien Rasse | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
Joe Serpa | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 24.7% |
Matthew King | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% |
Bridget Green | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
Will Murray | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
Kenneth Corsig | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 17.1% |
Gavin McJones | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
Kerem Erkmen | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.