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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.45vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+5.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+4.43vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+7.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+4.73vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.45vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89+2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.27-2.55vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-4.96vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.46-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-6.05vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-7.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.33vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Harvard University3.0511.3%1st Place
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6.45Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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8.96University of Miami2.326.3%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University2.456.4%1st Place
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12.15Jacksonville University1.552.8%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College1.924.2%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.5%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy2.254.3%1st Place
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8.55University of Pennsylvania2.426.2%1st Place
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12.21Fordham University1.892.4%1st Place
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8.45University of Hawaii2.276.6%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College2.083.6%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.787.0%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University2.466.2%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.9%1st Place
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8.36Cornell University2.386.6%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Michigan1.121.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Matthew King | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Will Murray | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 15.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.