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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+7.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+4.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+5.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.25+4.16vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.46+2.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+3.31vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.59vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-0.35vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-2.28vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-3.84vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-1.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-2.00vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-7.12vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-3.28vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.27-8.49vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6University of Pennsylvania2.426.2%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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6.53Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
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9.16University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy2.255.1%1st Place
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8.07Tulane University2.467.2%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.084.1%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University2.386.0%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College1.923.9%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.0%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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11.83Jacksonville University1.552.8%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.6%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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12.72Fordham University1.892.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Hawaii2.276.5%1st Place
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13.26University of Michigan1.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Matthew King | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.