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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+6.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+4.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+2.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76+1.11vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.18+2.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+1.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.12+3.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-0.18vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-0.41vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+1.90vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.35-5.57vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-2.28vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.52-4.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-5.89vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas-0.03-4.42vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.58-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83University of South Florida1.196.8%1st Place
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6.0Tufts University1.4310.2%1st Place
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5.7Yale University1.5912.0%1st Place
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5.11Brown University1.7614.3%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.188.2%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.9%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.0%1st Place
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9.59Salve Regina University0.464.0%1st Place
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12.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.4%1st Place
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6.43Boston College1.359.7%1st Place
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10.72The Citadel0.193.0%1st Place
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9.46Clemson University0.523.9%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Saint Thomas-0.032.1%1st Place
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15.44Princeton University-1.580.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 15.7% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Luke Adams | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 6.5% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.