← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.92+4.48vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.71+8.25vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College4.06+5.76vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston4.34+3.32vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.56+5.46vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.90vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.35vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida4.10+0.34vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-1.39vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-2.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania3.63-0.58vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University4.33-4.23vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College3.60-2.77vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.61-3.97vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-3.95vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University3.53-5.28vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.48-2.55vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University1.57-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.48Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
10.25Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
-
8.76Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
7.32College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
10.46Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
6.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
8.34University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
-
7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.42University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
-
7.77Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.23SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
10.03Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
-
11.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
10.72Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
-
14.45Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
16.25Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hall | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Harry Scott | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Gary Herring | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Carl Shorett | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 26.8% | 21.4% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.