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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+7.18vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+8.37vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.39vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+8.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.90vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+0.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.27-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-2.00vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.43vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-1.49vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.12-1.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-7.06vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.45-8.57vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College2.084.8%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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12.11Jacksonville University1.552.8%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy2.255.4%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University3.0510.6%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.5%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College1.924.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Hawaii2.275.7%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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9.0University of Miami2.326.1%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University2.387.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Pennsylvania2.426.8%1st Place
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12.51Fordham University1.892.5%1st Place
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13.7University of Michigan1.121.5%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.5%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Bastien Rasse | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 26.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.