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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+7.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.57vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+5.00vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+1.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.92vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55+4.05vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32+0.05vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.27-2.39vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.80vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-2.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-2.20vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.92-4.26vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-7.68vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.61vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56University of Pennsylvania2.426.3%1st Place
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6.57Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.787.3%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.9%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University2.456.6%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy2.255.9%1st Place
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12.05Jacksonville University1.552.9%1st Place
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9.05University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
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12.41Fordham University1.422.5%1st Place
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8.61University of Hawaii2.276.2%1st Place
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8.2Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College2.084.1%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.3%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College1.923.3%1st Place
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8.32Cornell University2.386.8%1st Place
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10.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.5%1st Place
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13.28University of Michigan1.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Matthew King | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Will Murray | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.