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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.01vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+2.39vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.46+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+3.26vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+2.85vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-1.69vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-0.05vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89+0.57vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.12-0.73vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.27-7.41vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.25-8.08vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.55-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Harvard University3.0510.7%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania2.426.6%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island2.787.4%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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8.09Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University2.385.5%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.8%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.7%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College1.954.3%1st Place
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12.57Fordham University1.892.6%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.2%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan1.122.1%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.034.3%1st Place
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8.59University of Hawaii2.275.7%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy2.255.1%1st Place
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12.06Jacksonville University1.553.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 23.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Bastien Rasse | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.