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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+7.01vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+3.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.01vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+5.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+3.76vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+2.05vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-1.76vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.12+2.33vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-5.16vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.27-6.42vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-6.66vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-6.64vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.55-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Tulane University2.468.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.7310.7%1st Place
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6.29Harvard University3.0510.5%1st Place
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8.59University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.457.6%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.256.0%1st Place
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12.43Fordham University1.892.1%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.6%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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8.24Cornell University2.386.5%1st Place
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13.33University of Michigan1.121.7%1st Place
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10.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island2.787.1%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.5%1st Place
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8.58University of Hawaii2.276.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Miami2.325.6%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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12.0Jacksonville University1.552.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jack Egan | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 16.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 24.8% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Matthew King | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.