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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
6.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.22+6.31vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.11+8.93vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.01+7.76vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.33+4.89vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.66+7.86vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.73+5.38vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.51+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.96-3.69vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.63-3.85vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32-3.84vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.14-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.92-8.44vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.13-9.94vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.95-10.70vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.85-13.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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10.93Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Michigan-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.38Purdue University-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Wisconsin1.960.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.75Northwestern University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Diamond | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 8.1% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 5.4% |
| Melita Aquino | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Charles White | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 15.8% | 62.2% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 31.5% | 18.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Murphy | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnston | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Whitney Kent | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alison Kent | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 27.8% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.