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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.85+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+2.20vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.92+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.96-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.63-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois1.22-1.61vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.11+1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.51-2.53vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.14-5.34vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.01-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of Chicago0.33-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.66-2.09vs Predicted
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17Purdue University-0.73-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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5.2University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Wisconsin1.960.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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11.09Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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7.66Northwestern University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Michigan-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.35Purdue University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fox | 27.0% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Murphy | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Grimmer | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Diamond | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Davidson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Robert Johnston | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 5.6% |
| Melita Aquino | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Charles White | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 16.1% | 62.0% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 27.3% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.