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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.85+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+3.49vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.92+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.13-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.96-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.51+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.63-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois1.22-2.38vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.73+1.56vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.01-1.01vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-6.43vs Predicted
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15University of Chicago0.33-4.69vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-0.11-4.82vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.66-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Wisconsin1.960.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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12.56Purdue University-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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11.18Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Michigan-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fox | 25.1% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 15.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Murphy | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Peter Grimmer | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 29.5% | 21.0% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 7.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Melita Aquino | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 6.2% |
| Charles White | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 17.2% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.