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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.85+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+2.55vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.37+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.96+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.92-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.51+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.63-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.32-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois1.22-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago0.33-2.64vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.11-2.62vs Predicted
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16Purdue University-0.73-3.52vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.66-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Wisconsin2.850.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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4.52Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Wisconsin1.960.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Wisconsin1.630.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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11.38Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.48Purdue University-0.730.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Michigan-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fox | 23.7% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Murphy | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Peter Grimmer | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 6.1% |
| Charles Diamond | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Melita Aquino | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Davis Dolson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 8.7% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 27.3% | 20.7% |
| Charles White | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 17.7% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.