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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.96+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.92+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.19-2.45vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.28+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.13-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois1.22-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.32-2.20vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.73+2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.51-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.01-1.52vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.11-2.06vs Predicted
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15University of Chicago0.33-5.23vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.07-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.66-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Wisconsin1.960.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin3.190.3%1st Place
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6.98Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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12.23Purdue University-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.94Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Wisconsin-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Michigan-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Murphy | 9.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 34.9% | 24.1% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 25.2% | 17.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 6.4% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 6.5% |
| Melita Aquino | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Reiland | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 4.9% |
| Charles White | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.