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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.40vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+8.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.07+7.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+4.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+5.36vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+1.24vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-0.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93-0.58vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.49vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.70-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.61-3.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-4.44vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-9.46vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.62-6.56vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.01-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Harvard University3.1818.8%1st Place
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10.51Tulane University2.213.9%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.074.0%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College2.295.2%1st Place
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10.36Cornell University1.884.0%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.388.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.4210.2%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.2%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.553.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Miami1.934.6%1st Place
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10.77Jacksonville University-1.383.5%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania1.774.9%1st Place
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10.39University of Hawaii1.703.5%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island1.613.3%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.743.8%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy2.609.8%1st Place
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10.44Fordham University1.623.6%1st Place
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15.54University of Michigan-0.010.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Emily Allen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Owen Lahr | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| David Alexander | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Stephens | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.