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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.15+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.88+0.58vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.47+2.99vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.58-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.74+0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.79-0.80vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.02-0.93vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.22-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.92-0.53vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-1.32-0.48vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.46-2.23vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.98-4.40vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.67-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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3.9University of Minnesota2.150.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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7.99Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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9.07Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.82Northwestern University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 34.4% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Olson | 13.7% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 20.8% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ellen Dubois | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Melinda Lee | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| C Jones | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 13.4% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 26.5% |
| Andrew Roth | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 33.0% |
| Edward Zelenak | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 14.0% |
| Harrison Faust | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.