Race 3A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Teddy Martin 13.5% 12.2% 13.1% 11.8% 12.5% 12.8% 10.5% 10.2% 3.4%
Eva Wieting 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.7% 10.5% 16.4% 43.0%
Owen Kohut 23.5% 22.6% 16.9% 14.3% 9.6% 6.2% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5%
Benjamin Smith 13.5% 14.3% 15.4% 15.0% 13.0% 11.2% 9.0% 5.7% 2.9%
Joseph Marynowski 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 10.7% 10.8% 11.9% 15.1% 16.2% 12.2%
Mats Braaten 8.5% 8.8% 10.2% 11.1% 11.8% 14.3% 14.5% 11.9% 8.9%
Olivia Gilmore 5.5% 6.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.6% 11.1% 13.0% 18.6% 19.4%
Hugh Carty 12.9% 12.2% 13.8% 11.8% 14.2% 11.4% 10.4% 9.0% 4.3%
Tyler Brown 12.3% 12.2% 10.0% 11.9% 12.4% 13.4% 13.0% 9.6% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.