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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.86vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+5.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+2.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.33+3.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+5.44vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.53+2.55vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.37vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.61+0.64vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.34-3.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.34-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.63-2.90vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.57+2.27vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.71-5.11vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-7.39vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida4.10-8.50vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.44Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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10.37SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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16.27Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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14.21Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Leighton | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Carl Shorett | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 61.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 25.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.