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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.88+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.79+3.30vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04-3.46vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.53+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.58-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.67+1.93vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.47-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.32+0.36vs Predicted
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13Purdue University0.02-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.92-2.32vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.46-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.58-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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6.44Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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7.91University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.24Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.43Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 20.6% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 11.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 32.0% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ellen Dubois | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Faust | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 22.6% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Roth | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 25.8% |
| Alex Mayo | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.