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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.88+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.79+2.36vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53+2.04vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.47+1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.32+4.22vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.58-3.54vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.16-3.64vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.92+0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.67-0.99vs Predicted
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13Purdue University0.02-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-12.35vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.46-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.58-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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8.19Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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6.36Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.41Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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2.65University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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12.64University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Morley | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 22.8% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| Ellen Dubois | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 12.0% |
| Harrison Faust | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 7.6% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 30.1% | 23.6% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Roth | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 27.4% |
| Alex Mayo | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.