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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.15+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.88+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.79+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53+2.05vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.47+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.58-2.52vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.02-0.73vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.16-4.52vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.67-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-0.92-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.32-1.55vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.58-2.19vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.46-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Minnesota2.150.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.71University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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8.14Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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9.27Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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6.48Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 19.9% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Olson | 13.2% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 32.1% | 24.8% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Bouman | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ellen Dubois | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Faust | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 6.5% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 11.3% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 23.0% |
| Alex Mayo | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 29.7% |
| Andrew Roth | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.