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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.15+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.88+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.79+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.58-0.59vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.16-0.56vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.02+1.28vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.47-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.32+2.38vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.53-2.92vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.67-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.58-0.05vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-0.92-3.51vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.46-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Minnesota2.150.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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6.44Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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9.28Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.18Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 20.6% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Olson | 12.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 32.5% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Dubois | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Meghan Bouman | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 23.3% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Faust | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 6.4% |
| Alex Mayo | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 33.2% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Roth | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.