← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+6.61vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College4.06+6.78vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston4.34+4.57vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.92+1.29vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida4.10+3.35vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.63+4.26vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.53+3.70vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.61+2.23vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.71+0.96vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.35vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University1.57+5.33vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University4.33-4.16vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-6.27vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-6.89vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.56-4.47vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.55vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.48-2.55vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
-
8.78Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
-
7.57College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
5.29Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
-
10.26University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
-
10.7Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
-
10.23Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
-
9.96Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
-
11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
16.33Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.84Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
-
6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
7.11U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
10.53Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
10.45SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
14.45Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Leighton | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Gary Herring | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 13.9% | 61.7% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Harry Scott | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 25.9% | 21.5% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.