← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.78+6.78vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College4.05+4.74vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.47+6.05vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.64+4.05vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy4.16+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.81+1.49vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.49+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.82+3.31vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.86vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.86vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.98vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.11+2.08vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.46vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.31-4.79vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.13-4.81vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University1.61-0.74vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.69-1.90vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.78Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
-
6.74Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.05Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
-
8.05College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.15U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
-
7.49Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.73University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.31Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
-
14.08Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.54SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
9.21Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
-
10.19Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
-
15.26Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
-
15.1University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Manchester | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mac Mace | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 17.7% |
| Ted Green | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Burd | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 36.2% |
| William Pilling | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 22.8% | 32.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.