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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+7.32vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.16+3.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.81+1.47vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+6.84vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.31+1.33vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.82+2.42vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.78-2.16vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.47-2.04vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.61+3.42vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.77vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-4.30vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-7.00vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-8.15vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College4.05-11.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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6.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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13.84Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.42Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.96Old Dominion University3.470.1%1st Place
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15.42Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.85University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Martin Sterling | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 17.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| George Powell | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 39.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| William Pilling | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 30.2% |
| Ted Green | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Will Stocke | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.