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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.35+4.23vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+0.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41-1.45vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.49-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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2.55Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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3.53Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.55Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.8Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.78Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Dykes | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 43.1% | 16.3% |
| Evan Read | 29.8% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.4% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 29.0% | 25.1% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cole Rice | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 2.6% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 15.5% | 1.5% |
| Paige Brown | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 11.8% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.