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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+2.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+2.28vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51-0.18vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-2.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-3.46vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Boston College2.690.2%1st Place
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3.72Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.28University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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3.82Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.62Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.54Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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6.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 9.9% | 1.4% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.2% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 1.5% |
| William Dykes | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 44.7% | 15.9% |
| Cole Rice | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 2.1% |
| Evan Read | 27.6% | 24.8% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 31.3% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Paige Brown | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 12.4% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.