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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+2.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+0.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41-0.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69-0.45vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.57Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.5Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.55Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.79Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.32University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lamont | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 14.6% | 2.0% |
| Evan Read | 28.7% | 24.4% | 22.5% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 29.5% | 26.9% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Marcos Darcy | 14.2% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 21.0% | 10.2% | 1.3% |
| Cole Rice | 10.4% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 22.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| William Dykes | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 46.4% | 15.3% |
| Paige Brown | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 12.0% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.