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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+2.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37-0.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41-1.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.49Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.56Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.53Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.79Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.31University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lamont | 13.2% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 2.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.3% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 9.6% | 1.4% |
| Evan Read | 27.8% | 26.4% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.6% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Rice | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 2.8% |
| William Dykes | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 46.2% | 15.3% |
| Paige Brown | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 11.9% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.