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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+1.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+0.48vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+0.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69-0.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.81Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.78Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.17University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 30.3% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.6% | 26.3% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lamont | 10.7% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 1.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 14.3% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 10.4% | 1.0% |
| Cole Rice | 9.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 1.8% |
| Paige Brown | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 10.1% | 82.8% |
| William Dykes | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 46.5% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.