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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+1.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37-0.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49-0.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.48Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.56Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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3.8Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.8Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.18University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 31.6% | 25.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.2% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 10.4% | 1.0% |
| Evan Read | 29.3% | 24.5% | 20.6% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.4% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 23.2% | 14.7% | 1.5% |
| Cole Rice | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 22.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% |
| Paige Brown | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 10.4% | 82.5% |
| William Dykes | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 46.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.