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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+1.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+1.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.50vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37-1.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.76Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.5Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.62Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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3.81Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.27University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 32.8% | 25.3% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lamont | 10.8% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 12.5% | 2.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.2% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Evan Read | 27.9% | 24.0% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Cole Rice | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 2.9% |
| William Dykes | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 46.3% | 14.9% |
| Paige Brown | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 12.0% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.