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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+1.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+0.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51-0.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.53Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.74Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.85Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.28University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 30.8% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.2% | 27.2% | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.4% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Cole Rice | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% |
| Ben Lamont | 9.9% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% |
| William Dykes | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 46.5% | 14.7% |
| Paige Brown | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.