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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+1.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.45vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+0.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51-0.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.64vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.04-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.45Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.74Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.71Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.56Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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6.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 31.2% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.8% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 8.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.1% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 11.7% | 0.9% |
| Cole Rice | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 12.6% | 1.3% |
| Evan Read | 29.3% | 25.3% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Paige Brown | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 13.3% | 79.4% |
| Ann Sager | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 48.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.