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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+1.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+0.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.46vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49-0.25vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.04-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.46Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.75Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.77Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.55University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 31.4% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.7% | 27.0% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.5% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.9% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 25.3% | 11.8% | 1.5% |
| Cole Rice | 9.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 2.7% |
| Ann Sager | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 48.7% | 20.5% |
| Paige Brown | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 15.6% | 73.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.