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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+7.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.43vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+11.00vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.16+1.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.78+1.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+3.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.31+1.34vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.69+5.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.02vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.47-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.81-6.78vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.83vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.61-0.81vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.82-5.47vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.00-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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14.0Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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15.18University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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15.19Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.53Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.5SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 17.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Mac Mace | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Pilling | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 34.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Criezis | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 34.8% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Ted Green | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.