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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+6.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+6.36vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.71+4.68vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+6.45vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+5.60vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.06+0.45vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.21+2.34vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10-1.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.95+1.33vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-4.10vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-3.78vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.57-5.26vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.98-8.25vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.26-7.51vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.4%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy1.786.2%1st Place
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7.68Webb Institute1.717.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.593.6%1st Place
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10.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.003.2%1st Place
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6.45Tulane University2.069.3%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.214.8%1st Place
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6.35Jacksonville University2.1010.9%1st Place
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10.33Boston University0.953.8%1st Place
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13.54Christopher Newport University0.651.5%1st Place
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6.9University of Miami2.329.0%1st Place
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9.22George Washington University1.445.7%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont0.875.0%1st Place
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8.74North Carolina State University1.575.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.989.6%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University1.266.8%1st Place
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12.7Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Zander King | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 35.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.