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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+1.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+0.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49-0.26vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.04-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.48Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.74Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.76Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 31.2% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.9% | 26.7% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.9% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 8.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.3% |
| Cole Rice | 9.8% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 23.1% | 11.8% | 1.7% |
| Paige Brown | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 13.4% | 78.9% |
| Ann Sager | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 49.2% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.