← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.37+1.50vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.49+1.71vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.69+0.46vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.41-1.46vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.51-1.23vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire1.04-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
-
3.71Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
-
3.46Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
2.54Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
-
3.77Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
6.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
-
5.4University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 31.9% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Lamont | 10.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 23.6% | 11.3% | 1.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.6% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 21.0% | 8.6% | 0.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.6% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cole Rice | 9.8% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 1.6% |
| Paige Brown | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 13.6% | 78.9% |
| Ann Sager | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 49.3% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.