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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.51+2.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+0.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+0.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49-0.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-2.42vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.04-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.49Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.79Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.58Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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6.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Rice | 13.2% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 1.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.9% | 25.1% | 22.3% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.2% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 25.6% | 12.8% | 1.3% |
| Evan Read | 28.3% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Paige Brown | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 12.6% | 79.1% |
| Ann Sager | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 49.6% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.