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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+1.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+1.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+0.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51-0.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41-2.50vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27+0.64vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.04-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
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3.44Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.74Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.7Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.5Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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6.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 29.6% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.9% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Ben Lamont | 11.0% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 11.9% | 0.9% |
| Cole Rice | 11.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 1.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 30.6% | 25.6% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Paige Brown | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 13.3% | 79.4% |
| Ann Sager | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 48.5% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.