← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College1.73+3.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Maryland2.18+1.46vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University2.11+0.59vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University2.04-0.24vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary1.37-0.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia1.66-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University1.35-1.92vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University0.43-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
3.46University of Maryland2.180.2%1st Place
-
3.59Hampton University2.110.2%1st Place
-
3.76Queen's University2.040.2%1st Place
-
4.99William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
-
5.08Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
-
6.49Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 19.0% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 19.5% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Peter Soosalu | 16.4% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Bill Parker | 7.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| Domenic Re | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| John Shanahan | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.