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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nilah Miller 26.0% 22.1% 16.7% 13.5% 9.7% 5.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Gavin Valentine 18.9% 19.8% 18.1% 15.7% 10.8% 8.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 11.4% 13.2% 13.6% 10.5% 9.6% 6.6% 2.9%
Alana Vodicka 4.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 7.5% 9.2% 9.8% 13.1% 17.2% 24.6%
Rowan Barnes 13.8% 15.6% 16.1% 14.3% 13.2% 11.4% 7.2% 5.0% 2.4% 1.1%
Pranjal Singh 6.2% 6.0% 7.8% 9.3% 10.9% 12.0% 12.8% 13.8% 12.9% 8.3%
Sarah Weese 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 9.8% 13.6% 15.7% 17.2% 17.1%
Christopher Lucyk 9.3% 9.3% 11.2% 12.0% 12.0% 11.7% 13.4% 10.1% 7.1% 4.0%
Matthew Simpson 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 7.8% 9.7% 11.2% 13.6% 18.2% 20.3%
Sam Woodley 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 6.0% 7.1% 8.3% 12.1% 16.0% 16.8% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.