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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 9.0% 10.3% 11.7% 12.3% 13.5% 13.2% 10.9% 11.1% 5.7% 2.3%
Nilah Miller 25.9% 22.3% 15.7% 13.4% 9.8% 6.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Gavin Valentine 20.3% 19.2% 15.8% 14.8% 11.9% 8.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Rowan Barnes 14.1% 16.2% 16.5% 14.8% 12.4% 10.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Christopher Lucyk 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 11.4% 12.8% 13.7% 11.5% 10.8% 6.8% 3.1%
Sarah Weese 4.4% 4.7% 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 10.2% 12.7% 15.0% 16.2% 17.6%
Pranjal Singh 5.9% 5.9% 7.8% 9.2% 10.4% 11.8% 13.0% 12.8% 13.2% 10.1%
Matthew Simpson 3.5% 3.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.3% 10.1% 10.8% 13.9% 17.2% 20.9%
Alana Vodicka 3.2% 4.0% 5.6% 5.0% 7.0% 7.5% 10.4% 13.5% 18.6% 25.4%
Sam Woodley 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 6.1% 7.3% 8.6% 13.1% 13.6% 18.4% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.