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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Lucyk 8.6% 9.2% 11.2% 12.4% 12.4% 13.2% 11.7% 11.2% 7.2% 3.0%
Nilah Miller 24.6% 21.5% 17.6% 14.4% 9.8% 6.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Gavin Valentine 21.8% 19.4% 16.2% 14.1% 12.0% 8.0% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 8.9% 11.0% 12.5% 13.1% 12.4% 11.8% 12.0% 9.2% 5.6% 3.5%
Sarah Weese 3.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 9.4% 12.4% 15.2% 15.6% 19.4%
Rowan Barnes 15.2% 14.4% 14.9% 14.3% 13.6% 11.6% 7.5% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8%
Pranjal Singh 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 10.0% 12.5% 14.1% 13.6% 12.8% 9.4%
Alana Vodicka 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 7.6% 9.4% 10.2% 15.0% 17.3% 22.4%
Matthew Simpson 3.6% 5.1% 4.7% 7.8% 7.0% 9.5% 10.6% 13.7% 18.5% 19.7%
Sam Woodley 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 4.8% 7.8% 8.7% 12.7% 13.2% 19.0% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.