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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.78+5.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+5.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.69+8.96vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+3.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-0.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.81-2.27vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11+2.91vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.96vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.82-1.78vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy4.16-8.91vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.61-0.75vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.31-7.37vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.47-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.38College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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14.96University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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13.91Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.04SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.22Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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15.25Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christian Manchester | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mac Mace | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| William Pilling | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 31.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Criezis | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rivlin | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Ted Green | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Powell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 34.3% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.