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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+4.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+4.91vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+6.56vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+8.45vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.21+3.48vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57+1.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.29vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.06-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87-0.62vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-4.17vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-2.90vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.71-5.33vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.95-3.55vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-4.74vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.72-3.11vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.26-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Jacksonville University2.1011.3%1st Place
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6.86University of Miami2.329.6%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.5%1st Place
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10.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.004.3%1st Place
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13.45Christopher Newport University0.651.2%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University1.214.2%1st Place
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8.83North Carolina State University1.575.3%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy1.785.7%1st Place
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6.33Tulane University2.0610.7%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont0.874.5%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University1.989.2%1st Place
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9.1George Washington University1.446.0%1st Place
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7.67Webb Institute1.716.6%1st Place
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10.45Boston University0.953.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.594.0%1st Place
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12.89Hampton University0.721.7%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University1.266.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 34.2% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Zander King | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 25.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.