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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lauren Mellinger 11.5% 11.5% 12.0% 12.8% 14.2% 12.6% 10.3% 9.2% 4.9% 1.1%
Kathleen Hale 26.9% 21.1% 18.7% 13.2% 10.1% 5.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Elijah Healy 17.5% 15.8% 16.2% 16.0% 11.8% 10.2% 7.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Kaleb Marahrens 14.0% 15.4% 13.2% 14.3% 14.1% 12.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Sydney Mitchell 3.2% 4.8% 4.5% 6.1% 6.7% 10.2% 12.8% 14.9% 18.6% 18.2%
Trevin Brown 11.1% 13.8% 15.3% 13.0% 13.8% 12.7% 9.7% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9%
Samuel Trimble 5.5% 6.0% 8.1% 7.9% 10.1% 11.8% 15.2% 15.3% 13.2% 6.9%
James Elder 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 9.7% 14.1% 15.7% 20.0% 15.0%
Garrison Clower 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 6.7% 11.2% 18.3% 46.5%
Tyler Williams 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.8% 10.2% 12.7% 16.8% 18.1% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.