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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.11+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.66+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland2.18+0.48vs Predicted
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4Queen's University2.04-0.27vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.37+0.01vs Predicted
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6Penn State University1.35-1.02vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-2.66vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.43-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Hampton University2.110.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Maryland2.180.2%1st Place
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3.73Queen's University2.040.2%1st Place
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5.01William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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4.98Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.34Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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6.5Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 18.6% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Domenic Re | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 20.2% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Peter Soosalu | 16.6% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Bill Parker | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 12.5% |
| John Shanahan | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| Zachary Schippe | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 19.9% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.