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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+5.62vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+4.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.01+3.12vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+5.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.94+5.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.34+6.56vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+0.78vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+2.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.93vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.60-2.39vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.58+0.48vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.59-4.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.64-5.62vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.31-5.22vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University-0.10-1.17vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.68-4.97vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University-0.20-2.88vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy1.899.7%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University1.868.1%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University2.0111.2%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.165.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Naval Academy0.944.2%1st Place
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12.56Georgetown University0.341.6%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University1.596.9%1st Place
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10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.3%1st Place
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5.07U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.2%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston1.608.2%1st Place
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11.48Hampton University0.582.5%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University1.596.9%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy1.646.8%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston1.314.6%1st Place
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13.83Georgetown University-0.100.9%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University0.683.2%1st Place
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14.12Old Dominion University-0.201.3%1st Place
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14.39U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Luke Monnich | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Max Kleha | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Miles Wolff | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Anson Walker | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 20.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Parker Younger | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 26.0% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.