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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.18+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.66+2.45vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+0.72vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.37+1.02vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73-0.67vs Predicted
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6Penn State University1.35-1.02vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11-3.35vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.43-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Maryland2.180.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
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3.72Queen's University2.040.2%1st Place
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5.02William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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4.33Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.98Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.65Hampton University2.110.2%1st Place
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6.52Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Prucnal | 21.4% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Domenic Re | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| Peter Soosalu | 17.1% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Bill Parker | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 13.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 6.3% |
| John Shanahan | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.