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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.18+2.40vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College1.73+2.34vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.11+0.60vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.35+1.04vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.370.00vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.66-2.50vs Predicted
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8Queen's University2.04-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Maryland2.180.2%1st Place
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4.34Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.6Hampton University2.110.2%1st Place
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5.04Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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5.0William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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6.5Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
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3.61Queen's University2.040.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Prucnal | 19.4% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 6.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 18.2% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| John Shanahan | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 14.0% |
| Bill Parker | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 13.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 48.1% |
| Domenic Re | 12.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% |
| Peter Soosalu | 18.7% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.