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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.28+4.13vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+5.56vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.31+5.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.01+2.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.40vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.34+6.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.59+0.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.46vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-2.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.94+0.22vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.58+0.32vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-0.89vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University-0.10+1.01vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.28vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-7.23vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-6.83vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University-0.20-2.77vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.4%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston1.606.3%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston1.315.2%1st Place
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6.28Georgetown University2.0111.2%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy1.647.9%1st Place
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12.4Georgetown University0.341.7%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University1.596.5%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy1.898.1%1st Place
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6.5Georgetown University1.869.5%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Naval Academy0.944.0%1st Place
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11.32Hampton University0.583.5%1st Place
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11.11Old Dominion University0.682.8%1st Place
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14.01Georgetown University-0.101.4%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.1%1st Place
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7.77Old Dominion University1.595.9%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.165.0%1st Place
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14.23Old Dominion University-0.201.3%1st Place
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14.23U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 15.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Luke Monnich | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Walshe | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Anson Walker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 22.6% |
| Max Kleha | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Parker Younger | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 24.9% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.