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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+9.14vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.31+6.66vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.01+3.30vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+2.68vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+4.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64+1.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68+3.98vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.34+4.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.75vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.60-2.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.89-4.45vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University-0.10+2.03vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.58-1.39vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University-0.20+0.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-0.56vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-5.62vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.59-9.29vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.59-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy0.944.6%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston1.315.5%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University2.019.2%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University1.868.1%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.5%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy1.647.8%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University0.683.5%1st Place
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12.49Georgetown University0.341.9%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.8%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston1.608.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy1.8910.1%1st Place
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14.03Georgetown University-0.101.4%1st Place
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11.61Hampton University0.582.2%1st Place
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14.13Old Dominion University-0.201.6%1st Place
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14.44U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.0%1st Place
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10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.7%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University1.596.8%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University1.596.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Hughes | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Luke Monnich | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anson Walker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 22.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Parker Younger | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 24.8% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 26.9% |
| Max Kleha | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.