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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+10.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+4.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.64+4.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.01+2.26vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+2.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+0.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.80vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.31+0.55vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University-0.10+4.92vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University0.34+2.51vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-3.22vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-0.97vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.59-5.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.94-4.52vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-6.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-2.73vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University-0.20-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.25Hampton University0.583.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy1.899.6%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy1.648.0%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University2.019.6%1st Place
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7.69Old Dominion University1.597.2%1st Place
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6.56Georgetown University1.8610.4%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.5%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston1.316.2%1st Place
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13.92Georgetown University-0.101.3%1st Place
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12.51Georgetown University0.341.9%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston1.605.9%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University0.682.8%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University1.597.0%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.902.8%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy0.944.2%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.6%1st Place
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14.27U. S. Naval Academy-0.220.9%1st Place
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14.28Old Dominion University-0.201.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hughes | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Anson Walker | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 22.5% |
| Luke Monnich | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% |
| Jonathan Weed | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 25.6% |
| Parker Younger | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.